Section IV · Macro + GEX
Refreshed 10h 5m ago
Regime.
Macro state + per-ticker dealer positioning. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways; spot below flip + bullish flow is the breakout setup.
Regime check nightly via trading-quant-dailyVIX last 5/29/2026, 6:12:15 PM
How to read this pageA ticker in the GEX flip candidates table is in dealer negative-gamma territory — if its spot crosses the flip-level going up, mechanical dealer hedging flips from headwind to tailwind. That's the highest-conviction signal we have (69% historical win rate). Names near call walls have an upside ceiling; near put walls have downside support.
Macro regime
NORMAL
VIX 15.32
NORMAL <18 · CAUTIOUS <25 · DEFENSIVE <35 · CRISIS ≥35
What this means for plays
Directional longs OK. Short premium OK. No suppression.
GEX flip candidates
AI-thesis tickers in negative gamma with spot below flip. If spot crosses flip, dealers go from short → long → mechanical breakout fuel.
| Ticker | Spot | Flip level | % to flip | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $757.51 | $764.88 | ● +1.0% | neg γ |
| ASML | $1620.37 | $1647.86 | ● +1.7% | neg γ |
| WDC | $524.60 | $534.74 | ● +1.9% | neg γ |
| NBIS | $224.57 | $229.73 | ● +2.3% | neg γ |
| TSM | $418.56 | $438.13 | +4.7% | neg γ |
| FLNC | $18.86 | $21.84 | +15.8% | neg γ |
| CBRS | $234.06 | $346.76 | +48.2% | neg γ |
| OKLO | $67.74 | $196.93 | +190.7% | neg γ |
Near call wall
upside ceiling — dealers selling above to hedge
| FLNC | $18.86 | wall $19 |
| INTC | $119.11 | wall $118 |
| NVTS | $26.62 | wall $28 |
| AOSL | $45.37 | wall $47.5 |
| GOOGL | $382.37 | wall $385 |
| OKLO | $67.74 | wall $65 |
| AMZN | $271.02 | wall $267.5 |
| BWXT | $196.22 | wall $200 |
Near put wall
downside support — dealers buying below to hedge
| COHR | $353.50 | wall $350 |
| AAOI | $159.04 | wall $155 |
| AXTI | $104.13 | wall $100 |
| CEG | $287.24 | wall $280 |
| GOOGL | $382.37 | wall $375 |
| PWR | $712.67 | wall $690 |
Upcoming events
earnings, FOMC, catalysts
| When | Ticker | Event |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 · 3d | — | CONSTRUCTION SPENDING |
| 2026-06-01 · 3d | — | ISM MANUFACTURING |
| 2026-06-02 · 4d | — | JOB OPENINGS |
| 2026-06-03 · 4d | AVGO | earnings |
| 2026-06-03 · 4d | CRWD | earnings |
| 2026-06-03 · 5d | — | ADP EMPLOYMENT |
| 2026-06-03 · 5d | — | ISM SERVICES |
| 2026-06-03 · 5d | — | FACTORY ORDERS |
| 2026-06-03 · 5d | — | FOMC |
| 2026-06-04 · 6d | — | INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS |
| 2026-06-05 · 7d | — | HOURLY WAGES YEAR OVER YEAR |
| 2026-06-05 · 7d | — | U.S. HOURLY WAGES |